presidential candidate Ollanta Humala, Peru alliance wins, gets 39% of the voting intentions and his opponent Force 2011, Keiko Fujimori, 38% achieved, as the latest poll of voting intentions of Ipsos Apoyo published today, 31 days of the ballot.
The study, conducted between 23 and 30 April 2011, with a sample of 1,983 eligible voters, reveals that 23% of respondents would vote blank, flawed or not answering.
The difference between candidates dispute the second round is just 1 point, according to the poll, commissioned by Morgan Stanley.
The previous Ipsos Apoyo poll published on April 24, said Humala obtained 42%, compared to 36% of Fujimori.
The opinion survey indicates that the election of Humala pocket is inside the country, which gets 45% of preferences, whereas in the case of Fujimori in Lima, where 49% achieved.
Southern (52%) and central (46%) of the country are the areas where Humala achieves maximum support, while Fujimori is doing the same in the north (36%) and East (37%), the study said. (END) GCO / GCO
Sheet
Universe of the surveyed population: Persons 18 years or older with ID eligible to vote.
Sample Frame: The sampling frame was taken as the electoral roll 2010
Sample Design: We conducted a multistage probability sample. The strata are defined by the intersection of variable geographic region (Lima, North Coast, South Coast, Central Coast, Sierra Norte, Sierra Sur, Sierra Central, East) and area (urban and rural) in each stratum, a sample localities and within areas with random start of apples. Subsequently conducted a systematic sampling of households in each block selected and applied contributions of sex and age for the selection of persons within each dwelling.
Sample size: 1983 respondents.
Margin of error: For the results have a margin of error of + 2.2%.
respondent selection procedure: Respondents were chosen randomly within each housing respecting quotas of sex and age.
Simulation Methodology: Household Survey.
confidence: It is assumed a confidence level of 95% and maximum variance in the population proportions (p = q = 0.5).
Date of fieldwork: Between 23 and 30 April 2011. (Rural: Saturday 23 and Sunday 24. Urban areas including Lima: Monday 25 to Thursday 28. Simulation vote Lima: Saturday 30).
Coverage: This coverage was 24 departments, 103 cities, 87 provinces and 178 districts.
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